Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.005257 0.005798 0.006382 0.007064 0.007840 0.008698 0.009724
2025-09-28 0.004293 0.005018 0.005863 0.006929 0.008250 0.009850 0.011958
2025-10-05 0.003794 0.004608 0.005604 0.006930 0.008675 0.010931 0.014130
2025-10-12 0.003493 0.004375 0.005498 0.007061 0.009225 0.012185 0.016668
2025-10-19 0.003183 0.004085 0.005271 0.006983 0.009453 0.012997 0.018675
2025-10-26 0.002941 0.003854 0.005090 0.006930 0.009689 0.013822 0.020804
2025-11-02 0.002719 0.003629 0.004889 0.006819 0.009810 0.014470 0.022730
2025-11-09 0.002572 0.003493 0.004799 0.006855 0.010148 0.015485 0.025427
2025-11-16 0.002414 0.003329 0.004651 0.006782 0.010297 0.016198 0.027697
2025-11-23 0.002252 0.003144 0.004457 0.006617 0.010271 0.016600 0.029441
2025-11-30 0.002163 0.003062 0.004411 0.006682 0.010635 0.017726 0.032808
2025-12-07 0.002118 0.003043 0.004459 0.006902 0.011286 0.019464 0.037793
2025-12-14 0.001991 0.002894 0.004297 0.006764 0.011303 0.020036 0.040469
2025-12-21 0.001876 0.002757 0.004147 0.006639 0.011332 0.020650 0.043419
2025-12-28 0.001797 0.002672 0.004075 0.006640 0.011600 0.021787 0.047917
2026-01-04 0.001747 0.002630 0.004072 0.006764 0.012121 0.023544 0.054490
2026-01-11 0.001666 0.002533 0.003966 0.006689 0.012229 0.024403 0.058876
2026-01-18 0.001596 0.002450 0.003879 0.006639 0.012382 0.025387 0.063916
2026-01-25 0.001523 0.002356 0.003767 0.006534 0.012403 0.026057 0.068212
2026-02-01 0.001476 0.002306 0.003729 0.006568 0.012733 0.027541 0.075605
2026-02-08 0.001417 0.002231 0.003643 0.006499 0.012823 0.028430 0.081317
2026-02-15 0.001350 0.002138 0.003519 0.006343 0.012696 0.028730 0.085054
2026-02-22 0.001317 0.002105 0.003501 0.006405 0.013085 0.030498 0.094973